Track record

Honest backtest results, including misses. "Interval coverage" is the realized fraction of outcomes that fell inside our stated prediction band — for a well-calibrated 80% interval it should be near 0.80.

Informational only — not financial advice. No forecast is certain or guaranteed.

Level	Metric	Horizon	MAE	MAPE	Interval coverage	N	Model
county	home_value	3mo	9,373.94	1.1%	0.92	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	home_value	6mo	18,814.75	2.1%	0.94	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	home_value	12mo	30,107.43	3.5%	0.99	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	median_sale_price	3mo	23,954.95	2.8%	0.9	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	median_sale_price	6mo	27,139.85	3.1%	1	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	median_sale_price	12mo	30,753.45	3.5%	0.99	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	rent_index	3mo	19.83	0.8%	0.96	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	rent_index	6mo	27.31	1.1%	0.99	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
county	rent_index	12mo	37.29	1.4%	0.97	72	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	home_value	3mo	9,628.27	1.1%	1	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	home_value	6mo	18,775.32	2.2%	1	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	home_value	12mo	33,345.61	4.2%	0.97	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	rent_index	3mo	89.97	1.6%	0.97	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	rent_index	6mo	98.89	1.9%	0.99	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1
zip	rent_index	12mo	128.43	2.5%	0.99	288	forecast-gbr-conformal-v1